In today's chat, I have been discussing the use of relative volume to confirm fast momentum move reversals. The dashed line represents volume on the SPY adjusted for the daily "smile" effect where am and pm volume are higher than mid-day volume such that we can see how unusual volume is on a normalized basis. Fast intraday moves will often wiggle around trend, and its easy to get itchy trigger fingers and take profits too soon. Note how the cessation of volume in the first example confirms the end of trend (volume in orange, price in blue). Likewise, in the second case, the trade remains open because volume is still rising even as price shows potential early stabilization. In this case, the light gray VIX line crosses also act as confirmation.
Jeff Pietsch is a registered investment adviser in the State of Washington. The adviser may not transact business in states where it is not appropriately registered, excluded or exempted from registration. Individualized responses to persons that involve either the effecting of transaction in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, will not be made without registration or exemption.
This blog is for educational purposes only, and nothing herein should be construed as an offer to buy or sell, or as a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities, or to provide individual investment advice. Investing is risky and past performance, whether actual or tested, is no guarantee of future results. The author neither endorses nor warrants the content of this site, any embedded advertisement, or any linked resource. The author or his managed funds may hold either long or short positions in the referenced securities. Republication rights must be expressly granted by author in writing. Astrices (*) indicate a compensated hyperlink or product reference. Author is the sole owner of the "ETF Rewind," shares in the proceeds of "DV_indicators", and may exchange services in-kind with participant contributors.